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Atlantic hurricane season forecast released

Atlantic hurricane season forecast released

This Hurricane Season is shaping up to be an active one.

As in years past, CSU experts will issue updates to their forecast throughout the hurricane season. Three are forecast to become major hurricanes, meaning a Category 3 storm or higher.

As for the rest of the season, the area from Houston to Florida and up through the Outer Banks of North Carolina will be more favorable for direct impacts from storms, AccuWeather said.

According to Kottlowski, conditions are ripe for early season development in the Gulf of Mexico due the warm water already in place in that part of the Atlantic basin.

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Many in the Caribbean and along the US coasts are still cleaning up from the 2017 season, which was extremely active and deadly. For the Gulf Coast, from the Florida Panhandle to Brownsville, Texas, researchers predicted a 38% chance versus an average 30% for the last century.

All are above the 30-year average of 12 named storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes. Bell says it's highly unlikely we'll be hit like that this year.

"Last season had near-record warm sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic", said Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist at Colorado State University.

In December, the NHC released preliminary numbers of 15 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes. Three - major hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria - wreaked havoc on several USA states and territories, most notably Puerto Rico, Texas and Florida. This will extend between 30°N and 40°N from the USA coast to 55°W. Speaking to reporters last December, former director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency Craig Fugate stated, "Floridians must brace for storms that will be stronger, have longer periods at top speeds and bring more rain than in the past because of the changing climate". But it must be reiterated that it only takes one landfalling storm to cause major loss of life and significant damage, meaning while forecasts are directionally useful there is no replacement for preparedness and protection.


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